anon_xily said in #5444 14h ago:
What’s the strongest reason(s) not to believe there’s a reasonable chance that some of the seemingly less explicable UAP sightings could be an artifact of alien life? I think the general consensus around here tends to be very skeptical, with Admin taking a dim view on the significance of some new UAP footage recently coming to light (which I admittedly haven’t looked at much myself). On the other hand, I’ve seen Robin Hanson, for instance, show a lot more credulity.
My priors on this sort of thing being real aren’t especially low but nor are they especially high. One of the strongest arguments against seems to be that alien life, or some silicon spin-off therefrom, would be expansive and remake the galaxy or local group in whatever way it sees fit, which should preclude us from existing in the first place. I can’t say that I’m confident enough that I’m not missing something here to put too much weight on this though. I also read the Jim’s Blog post laying out the case for the uniqueness of our local group, and of our solar system in particular,
https://blog.reaction.la/science/it-is-the-will-of-gnon-that-we-shall-fill-the-stars-and-subdue-them/
but this too seems less than definitive.
Should these arguments alone be sufficient reason to dismiss the possibility of UAPs being an artifact of alien life? Are there other stronger reasons to do so?
My priors on this sort of thing being real aren’t especially low but nor are they especially high. One of the strongest arguments against seems to be that alien life, or some silicon spin-off therefrom, would be expansive and remake the galaxy or local group in whatever way it sees fit, which should preclude us from existing in the first place. I can’t say that I’m confident enough that I’m not missing something here to put too much weight on this though. I also read the Jim’s Blog post laying out the case for the uniqueness of our local group, and of our solar system in particular,
https://blog.reaction.la/science/it-is-the-will-of-gnon-that-we-shall-fill-the-stars-and-subdue-them/
but this too seems less than definitive.
Should these arguments alone be sufficient reason to dismiss the possibility of UAPs being an artifact of alien life? Are there other stronger reasons to do so?
What’s the strongest