We open with this incredible line from Deng Xiaoping: "development is the hard truth".
What is development? The power to create, the power to grow, the power to fight. Development is anabolic and accelerating. You build the machine, then the machine that builds the machine. Development is the growth of the metropolis, the substrate of higher life and invention. GDP is not synonymous with development but neither can it be ignored; the market-based, non-grift, non-"public-spend" portion of GDP is a useful reality check. Above all, development is mandatory. The numbers must go up. A nation is either growing or dying.
Now here's another hard truth: development is largely uncorrelated with ideology. An incompetent elite turns anything it touches to stagnation and decay. Conversely, a live, intelligent elite can create development using a wide range of ideologies as their source of structure and legitimacy.
Observe some winners: - Nominally Left: the Chinese Communist Party. Contra low-information takes, the CCP remains meaningfully Communist. They use Leninist organizational principles (vanguardism, discipline, control of coercive organs) and Marxist moral language. They permit entrepreneurial capitalism tactically, but retain a strict Communist hierarchy that places the party-state in charge of the merchant class. - Nominally Center-Left: Denmark. Denmark has a live elite that ignored disastrous Euro consensus on migration, accepting very little third-world flows. They have robust GDP growth rivaling that of the US. Their pantsuit girlboss Prime Minister speaks fluent WEF but ultimately hires competent people. - Nominally Right: Singapore. Lee Kuan Yew was an "anglofascist who happened to be Chinese", but just like his Communist counterparts, he simply cherry-picked the functional parts of that ideology while discarding the non-functional parts.
For each ideological category you can imagine, it's likewise easy to find losers. For example, look at Pinochet in Chile, a rightist who presided over two decades of kleptoidiocracy and near-zero economic growth.
So what do we see? Nominal ideology is neither necessary nor sufficient. The traditional left-right axis is of limited use. Instead, all actually-successful ruling elites achieve both: 1. They are meritocratic. This is a fundamentally right-wing tendency, since it operationalizes hierarchy and the recognition that people are unequal in ability. 2. They hold themselves accountable for public welfare. Call this "noblesse oblige", call it "economic justice", call it whatever you want--this is a fundamentally left-wing tendency, since it implies that the stronger and more capable owe something to the less capable, and not just an abstract libertarian equality of opportunity, but a measurable outcome of consistently elevating all major populations' lived conditions.
And above all, successful elites achieve the Hard Truth of positive development. The country gets richer and more technologically advanced, faster than its peers.
Thus I offer the provocation that Liberalism is as good a legitimating ideology as any other. And for the United States, easily the best.
Liberalism does not need to be defeated, only commandeered.
This is a core question for ascendent patriotic youth movements. You have some, like Milei in Argentina and the AfD in Germany, that speak the language of classic Liberalism and seek to renew the concept by wresting the crown back from various forms of suicidal gynosocialism.
You have others, like Bukele and Missao, that consider Liberalism obsolete. MAGA sits between, with factions in each camp.
>>4903 > Nominal ideology is neither necessary nor sufficient.
I agree that it's neither necessary nor sufficient. However, I don't think that means it's orthogonal to development. For example, China's reforms under Deng required abandonment of much Marxist-Leninist doctrine concerning economics. Yes, the CCP continued to call itself Communist and to honor Mao, but that's the nominal part. In fact, they began both preaching and doing things that Mao would have vociferously opposed.
>>4903 > You have others, like Bukele and Missao, that consider Liberalism obsolete
Is that really true? Has either Bukele or Missao said or done anything that would have been offensive to mid-19th century Liberalism? Or is that going back further than you intended by the "classic Liberalism?"
What all successful ruling elites seem to do is picking the parts of their nominal ideology that work, while ignoring the parts that don't work.
This raises the question, do you need an ideology at all?
But you do. Pure number-go-up-ism, like all forms of bare rationalism, is uncharismatic and doesn't inspire anyone. You need a coherent legitimating narrative, a map of the world. Instead of commanding your people to build a boat, you teach them to yearn for the wild and endless sea, etc. And then you need a pragmatic elite that uses the map exactly to the extent that it's useful. You are judged by history and God according to your fruits. Development is the hard truth.
Bukele's bio says "Philosopher King". He's echoed Simon Bolivar's ideas around liberalism being ill-suited for Latin America. Both he and Missao are quite explicitly postliberal.
>>4907 > Instead of commanding your people to build a boat, you teach them to yearn for the wild and endless sea, etc.
Sure, but those two things are related. They're not simply orthogonal. If you wanted your people to build boats, you wouldn't romanticize agriculture, etc.
So I would argue that you need ideology for more than a kind of free-floating inspiration. It needs to inspire (and help coordinate) in particular, desired directions.
>>4908 > Bukele's bio says "Philosopher King". ... Both he and Missao are quite explicitly postliberal.
Let me make a more specific claim: Bukele has done nothing that would have bothered Gladstone (Liberal PM starting in 1868). In fact, Gladstone himself did similar things in Ireland.
>>4903 The problem with liberalism in modern America isn't that Liberalism can't work in principle, it's that historical conditions have evolved such that all the instincts of liberalism are currently being subverted by parasites. This always happens to any order eventually; you build a bunch of prosperity, and then the looters show up and of course they can wield the ruling ideology to loot much more effectively than the pragmatic elites can to defend because they have more opportunity and fewer constraints. Liberalism was fine, it's just dead and full of maggots. To achieve liberal ends now you need to be a fascist or whatever you want to call bukele, even though as others point out he's probably to the left of past liberals.
>>4913 > Liberalism was fine, it's just dead and full of maggots.
Milei seems to do fine with it. He is a strident Liberal in the sense of Adam Smith and John Locke, and everyone serious I talked to in Argentina loves him. I heard many variations of "finally we're trying something new." For a concrete example, he ended rent control nationwide on taking office, replacing a patrimonial system of incumbent gibs with market liberalism. What happened? Apartment listings in Buenos Aires doubled immediately, and real rental prices have dropped continuously since due to expanded supply. Urban vitality, achieved simply by removing the leftist boot from the city's neck.
>>4909 > So I would argue that you need ideology for more than a kind of free-floating inspiration. It needs [...] particular, desired directions.
Certainly. And for the predicament we're in, the way out draws from the Right and involves ideas that our enemies will call "far-right". But not all such ideas are equal. Just because our opponents will slap that label equally on Milei, Bukele, or mormon toothpaste model Mitt Romney, doesn't mean that we should be equally undiscerning.
Our enemy is clear. Our enemy is decel gynocratic grift. It's race communism. It's the barnacle-mass of vetocracy, theft, incompetence and ethnopolitics. The moment calls for decisive action to remove the barnacles. My contention is that in the United States specifically, the sharp tool is right-wing Liberalism.
The mission is to claim the empty high ground that Jefferson and the other founders left us. Free speech, free inquiry, equality before the law, fair and speedy trials, merit, representative democracy and Providence. Every single one of these could use a muscular correction that will make the fat harpies shriek and squeal "far right". But we know what it is.
We should claim our birthright. Right now it's free real estate.
>>4921 >milei Crazy guy with chainsaw is new face of rational prudent liberal governance! I'll grant that he's a classical liberal, and that classical liberal policy would fix a hell of a lot and be quite popular outside the parasite classes. But again, to actually pull this off you have to be "something new", that any self-described "liberal" would repudiate.
>sharp tool is right-wing Liberalism. Sure. This is basically what Trump is 10% of. Let's do classical liberalism, with for example a real concept of citizenship and not this insane mass immigration looting scheme. Liberalism doesn't have to mean the annihilation or neglect of the importance of the nation itself. Liberalism with teeth that doesn't grant special privileges to foreigners and criminals, and has a hardcore internal cultural security corps. Sign me up fam.
>claim the empty high ground that Jefferson and the other founders left us. Free speech, free inquiry, equality before the law, fair and speedy trials, merit, representative democracy and Providence. Maybe maybe. The American republic and its ideological baggage is big medicine for sure. But let me throw a subtler problem at you: as much as this is good sensible governance and so on, nobody actually gets out of bed for it. It's something you do after you've won so completely that the high of more extreme politics has worn off and you're left with a competent elite, no serious enemies, and a country to administer. Note that none of those liberal prudentia tell us what it's all for. Now maybe you get a guy like Trump or Milei who goes ahead and does it anyways because he just wants to fix his country or because he can see that it's useful to his real political goals, but I don't think it's compelling in its own right.
>>4913 It’s my current belief that the entire system was destined to float this way since the 18th century or possibly earlier, as industrialization basically necessitated an egalitarianism which was already much strengthened by the ideological circumstances of Europe. You can follow all of the most destructive lines of thought back to technological and ideological circumstance and trends which I can hardly imagine would have ever been stopped for long. Ideally, it would be solvable by the creation of a new state somewhere in the world which might lead by example and lead the west back into the light. Realistically, it will merely play out until the west is totally ruined, and we will forge a new path by fear of the example of destruction. The latter will take so much longer to play out with so much pain and suffering that it feels Seldonesque almost to wonder about what can be done with the former.
>>4961 >You can follow all of the most destructive lines of thought back to technological and ideological circumstance and trends which I can hardly imagine would have ever been stopped for long. >Ideally, it would be solvable by the creation of a new state somewhere in the world which might lead by example and lead the west back into the light. Realistically, it will merely play out until the west is totally ruined, and we will forge a new path by fear of the example of destruction. This is correct. A lot more of this is baked in at a deep level than people realize, but at the same time a single great man could see through this destiny and overturn those deep realities. So many more of them than we usually realize are actually customs, philosophical assumptions, and equilibria which can broken and reformed. This is an optimistic view ultimately, but what it implies that the missing ingredient is basically the courage to be very radical and go to war with the entire stack of assumptions that make up the world.
This is what I find lacking in all our intellectuals including myself, even anonymously, in private, etc. We often can instinctively see through the haze, but we lack the courage to authorize ourselves to come out and say it, to actually confront those problems and find a way through. It's too easy to imagine being persecuted, or being wrong, or what's worse and most likely, to be both persecuted and wrong. Much easier to think within the bounds.