in thread "Kolmogorov Paranoia: Extraordinary Evidence Probably Isn't.": can you just do this with standard Bayes? For example I expect a random coin I pick up to be fair with 99.999% probability, but if roll twenty heads in a row I'm going to be pretty sure something's wrong with with my estimates of the coin's parameters or w... 1y ago (collapse hidden) log in to judge received 5 5 can you just do this (view hidden) log in to judge received 5 5