in thread "Prediction Group House Idea": I think the rationalists tried stuff like this (getting underemployed young people to train in superforecasting). They do still play around on the prediction markets, but I haven't heard of any systematic success. They had a lot of epistemic and cognitive ... 7d ago (collapse hidden) log in to judge received 5.0 5.0 I think the rational (view hidden) log in to judge received 5.0 5.0 I can DM you on here if you vouch me back. But I don't think we need to. I don't know any details, just that the rationalists were obsessed with this stuff, obsessed with prediction markets, and CFAR tried all kinds of stuff to make training work (in stuff... 7d ago (collapse hidden) log in to judge received 4.2 4.2 I can DM you on here (view hidden) log in to judge received 4.2 4.2